Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.170094 0.203378 0.240834 0.286018 0.338951 0.398900 0.471841
2025-03-09 0.124601 0.168178 0.222803 0.295903 0.390715 0.509032 0.667306
2025-03-16 0.092401 0.136861 0.197348 0.284842 0.407185 0.571031 0.805679
2025-03-23 0.076573 0.122409 0.189073 0.291745 0.444179 0.660026 0.986077
2025-03-30 0.064815 0.110850 0.181853 0.297349 0.477932 0.746134 1.170044
2025-04-06 0.054044 0.098425 0.170698 0.294311 0.496911 0.811067 1.328223
2025-04-13 0.045745 0.088334 0.161268 0.291904 0.515426 0.875832 1.491268
2025-04-20 0.040984 0.083443 0.159518 0.301516 0.553926 0.975174 1.718000
2025-04-27 0.039579 0.084407 0.167962 0.329593 0.626508 1.136878 2.061886
2025-05-04 0.036243 0.081010 0.167834 0.341918 0.672366 1.257257 2.346439
2025-05-11 0.031336 0.073536 0.158812 0.336196 0.684364 1.319224 2.534301
2025-05-18 0.026330 0.064919 0.146200 0.321634 0.677674 1.346362 2.661355
2025-05-25 0.021793 0.056634 0.133315 0.305384 0.667027 1.367468 2.784188
2025-06-01 0.020091 0.054624 0.133535 0.316562 0.712786 1.500345 3.131266
2025-06-08 0.016986 0.048571 0.123818 0.304834 0.709647 1.537388 3.296098
2025-06-15 0.015558 0.046465 0.122780 0.312187 0.747628 1.659599 3.639685
2025-06-22 0.014211 0.044302 0.121257 0.318154 0.783125 1.779785 3.989405
2025-06-29 0.012550 0.040919 0.116178 0.314919 0.797442 1.856707 4.255969
2025-07-06 0.011136 0.037945 0.111650 0.312357 0.812889 1.937231 4.536782
2025-07-13 0.010431 0.036949 0.112175 0.322591 0.859712 2.090511 4.987193
2025-07-20 0.010539 0.038514 0.119898 0.352475 0.957298 2.365332 5.726112
2025-07-27 0.009983 0.037832 0.121245 0.365590 1.014736 2.553614 6.286318
2025-08-03 0.008838 0.034938 0.115794 0.359501 1.023026 2.628980 6.596625